Bilbao Ath. vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PON
0 - 1
ATH
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ATH
1 - 0
CDG
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 0
SES
41%
29%
30%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LEM
0 - 0
ATH
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
CEL
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CEL
4 - 0
RAC
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 1
CEL
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
CEL
1 - 0
PON
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |