Bilbao Ath. vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
LOG
1 - 1
ATH
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ATH
4 - 0
BIN
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CLH
2 - 2
ATH
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
ATH
2 - 1
RUN
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
ATH
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZAR
30%
30%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 0
AUR
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AMU
0 - 1
AUR
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 1
PEÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LOG
2 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |