Bilbao Ath. vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ATH
1 - 0
ALA
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ATH
0 - 0
CAU
59%
23%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ATH
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ATH
4 - 3
GIM
46%
28%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
AUR
1 - 1
ZAM
30%
30%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
GIM
1 - 1
AUR
54%
25%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
40%
29%
30%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ROB
0 - 1
AUR
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
AUR
0 - 0
AMU
30%
31%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |