Bilbao Ath. vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LOG
0 - 1
ATH
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 2
RSO
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CUL
2 - 1
ATH
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 4
OSA
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 0
PON
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
HUE
1 - 0
BUR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
BUR
0 - 0
LOG
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CDG
0 - 1
BUR
36%
29%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |