Bilbao Ath. vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CUL
1 - 0
ATH
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ATH
3 - 1
SLA
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
ATH
19%
26%
54%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ATH
0 - 0
LEM
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CDU
0 - 2
ATH
19%
26%
55%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 1
OVI
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
RSO
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 2
CAD
24%
28%
49%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CUL
2 - 2
BUR
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 2
SLA
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |