Bilbao Ath. vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
OVI
0 - 1
ATH
68%
21%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 1
ELC
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATH
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
21%
30%
49%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
CDO
1 - 1
ATH
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 1
SLA
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CAS
1 - 3
BUR
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
OVI
4 - 1
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 3
ELC
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 1
BUR
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |