Bilbao Ath. vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
CDU
1 - 2
ATH
20%
28%
52%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ATH
1 - 1
CDO
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
ROB
1 - 4
ATH
27%
28%
46%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
ATH
2 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
UPL
1 - 2
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
BAS
2 - 1
ROB
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAS
61%
25%
15%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
UPL
1 - 1
BAS
60%
24%
16%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
BAS
2 - 1
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1988 |
PON
0 - 0
BAS
75%
18%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |