Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Bilbao Ath. vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ATH
1 - 0
GRA
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
LIN
3 - 1
ATH
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
BIN
4 - 4
ATH
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
ATH
3 - 1
OSA
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATH
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 0
DEU
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
MON
3 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -3 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 2
SNT
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
SFC
3 - 0
BAS
35%
29%
36%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 0
CDG
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |