Bilbao Ath. vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SSC
2 - 5
ATH
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
ATH
5 - 2
CFP
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
HUE
1 - 1
ATH
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 0
RCF
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ATB
0 - 4
ATH
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
MIR
5 - 2
BAS
75%
18%
7%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 1
SSC
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
CFP
3 - 0
BAS
69%
21%
11%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 2
HUE
48%
28%
24%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
RCF
5 - 1
BAS
76%
17%
8%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |