Bilbao Ath. vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SES
1 - 0
ATH
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OSA
0 - 0
ATH
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ATH
0 - 1
EIB
34%
30%
36%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
ATH
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 1
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 0
SES
49%
28%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
OSA
44%
28%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
EIB
1 - 0
BAR
67%
21%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
CDG
40%
28%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |