Bilbao Ath. vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CLU
2 - 0
ATH
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 2
VAL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
GER
0 - 0
ATH
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 1
ALA
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ATH
0 - 1
NOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 0
OSA
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 0
BAR
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CLU
1 - 1
BAR
33%
27%
39%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
IZA
0 - 2
BAR
26%
29%
45%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAR
4 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |