Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-4
Bilbao Ath. vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ELC
2 - 1
ATH
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1985 |
BAR
4 - 1
ATH
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
ATH
0 - 0
SAB
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ALB
1 - 0
ATH
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
LOG
6 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
CDU
0 - 2
BAR
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1985 |
BAR
4 - 1
ATH
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
SDA
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ZAL
0 - 2
BAR
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
GER
0 - 2
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |