Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 7-3
Bilbao Ath. vs Balmaseda FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
CDG
0 - 3
ATH
34%
31%
35%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 2
CUL
52%
27%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1979 |
CUL
3 - 0
ATH
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ATH
3 - 0
RUN
72%
18%
9%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ENS
1 - 0
ATH
40%
30%
30%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
RUN
3 - 0
BFC
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
BFC
0 - 2
RSO
54%
25%
21%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ARE
3 - 1
BFC
61%
24%
15%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
BFC
2 - 1
SAB
58%
25%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
LON
0 - 1
BFC
54%
27%
20%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |