Bilbao Ath. vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 0
ATH
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ATH
4 - 0
PBO
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FUE
1 - 0
ATH
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ATH
5 - 0
SDA
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
FUE
3 - 0
SDA
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SDA
1 - 1
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SDA
3 - 1
RUN
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ATH
5 - 0
SDA
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SDA
4 - 0
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |