Bilbao Ath. vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
SPB
2 - 2
ATH
51%
28%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
ATH
3 - 1
AND
68%
20%
11%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
CDT
1 - 0
ATH
53%
28%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
ATH
0 - 0
SSC
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
BAR
2 - 3
ATH
61%
25%
15%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
ALC
2 - 0
RCF
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
COM
3 - 1
ALC
44%
30%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
ALC
2 - 3
LOG
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
HUE
1 - 1
ALC
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
ALC
0 - 0
PAL
44%
29%
28%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |