Bilbao Ath. vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
SSC
0 - 1
ATH
55%
27%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
ATH
1 - 0
ACF
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
ATH
3 - 0
PON
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
CDT
1 - 1
ATH
72%
20%
8%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ATH
3 - 0
HUE
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDT
33%
31%
36%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
HUE
1 - 2
ALC
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
GDE
3 - 1
ALC
82%
12%
7%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
ALC
1 - 2
DEP
30%
33%
37%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ALC
69%
22%
10%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |