AC Torrellano vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
18º
13º
6
3º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
4 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 64 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 61 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 53 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 25 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 23 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Torrellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 2
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UTI
2 - 0
ATH
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 0
TOR
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 3
UDC
43%
26%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATH
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CRE
2 - 1
RAY
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 0
ONT
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROD
0 - 1
RAY
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 6
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 0
SIL
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |