CAF Champions 1/16
Global 4-6
Athlético Olympic vs AS Vita Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VCL
5 - 0
ATH
87%
10%
3%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 0
ROY
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
5 - 0
ESM
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ATH
6 - 0
KFC
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATH
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Vita Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
MOL
1 - 4
VCL
34%
30%
37%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VCL
5 - 0
ATH
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
VCL
2 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VCL
0 - 0
DBL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SAI
0 - 2
VCL
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |