Atarfe Industrial vs UD Melilla B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atarfe Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HUE
0 - 3
ATA
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATA
1 - 1
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATA
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATA
4 - 1
ALQ
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATA
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 0
ANT
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
UDM
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 3
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
UDM
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
2 - 0
UDS
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |