Atarfe Industrial vs River Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atarfe Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 0
ATA
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ATA
1 - 2
RJA
21%
24%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LOJ
2 - 3
ATA
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ATA
2 - 1
UDS
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ANT
3 - 0
ATA
76%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
River Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 4
ALH
31%
22%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDR
2 - 2
RIV
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 2
RJA
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
GUA
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |