Atarfe Industrial vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atarfe Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDR
1 - 1
ATA
49%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ATA
0 - 1
ANT
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CDE
4 - 0
ATA
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ATA
5 - 0
COM
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
ATA
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
LOJ
4 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LOJ
2 - 1
CDR
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 1
LOJ
39%
26%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LOJ
2 - 0
CDE
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
LOJ
17%
24%
59%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |