Atarfe Industrial U19 vs Málaga U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
15º
14º
41
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 90.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atarfe Industrial U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
ATA
66%
19%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 3
ARE
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 1
ATA
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
ATA
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 2
SAN
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MCF
7 - 0
AME
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAS
0 - 1
MCF
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MCF
3 - 2
REA
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 3
MCF
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MCF
7 - 0
UDA
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |