Atalanta vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
ATL
0 - 1
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
GEN
0 - 0
ATL
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 1
INT
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 0
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
GEN
4 - 3
TRI
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |