Atalanta vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
TER
2 - 1
ATL
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
25%
29%
46%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 2
VIC
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
28%
29%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 2
PES
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
GEN
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 3
PIA
24%
30%
47%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |