Atalanta vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
MES
2 - 2
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
ASS
0 - 1
USA
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
SAM
3 - 1
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
USA
1 - 1
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
USA
1 - 0
BOL
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
USA
1 - 1
ROM
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |