Atalanta vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
3º
29
1º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 87 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 84 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 79 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 70 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 69 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 68 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 66 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 58 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 55 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 45 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 36 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 33 |
18º
|
23% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 28 |
19º
|
18.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
20º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
88% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
STU
0 - 2
ATL
31%
24%
45%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
ASS
86%
10%
4%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 1
VER
87%
9%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
CEL
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UDI
0 - 2
JUV
18%
23%
58%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
VNZ
3 - 2
UDI
37%
25%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 0
UDI
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UDI
1 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |