Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-3
Atalanta vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ATL
3 - 1
PES
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
ATL
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAP
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
ATL
3 - 0
PIS
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CAG
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
TOR
0 - 1
INT
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
LAZ
3 - 0
TOR
82%
13%
6%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
TOR
2 - 1
VNZ
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 0
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |