Atalanta vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
VER
1 - 1
ATL
52%
29%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 0
SSS
67%
22%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
PIS
0 - 1
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VIC
1 - 1
ATL
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 2
CES
58%
26%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
46%
31%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 1
TER
45%
31%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
TER
3 - 0
GEN
45%
31%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
51%
29%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |