Atalanta vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
ROM
35%
30%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
INT
0 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ATL
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
35%
32%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
TER
0 - 1
INT
15%
24%
60%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
ROM
0 - 0
TER
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
VER
1 - 0
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
TER
0 - 2
SAM
40%
32%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
CAG
1 - 0
TER
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |