Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-6
Atalanta vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 1
NAP
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1963 |
SLB
0 - 2
SCP
65%
17%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 2
MAX
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
MAX
1 - 3
SCP
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |