Atalanta vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 0
VIC
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
ROM
2 - 2
ATL
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ATL
0 - 0
AVE
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
71%
20%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
ATL
3 - 2
ASC
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 1
GEN
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 2
NOC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
SPA
54%
29%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
64%
24%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |