Atalanta vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATL
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
41%
31%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NOV
1 - 0
ATL
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 0
ASC
44%
31%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
COM
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
SPA
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
LEC
4 - 1
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAT
68%
23%
10%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |