Atalanta vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 5
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
COM
3 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
BOL
5 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAD
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 2
SSS
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |