Atalanta vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 1
INT
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
REG
2 - 2
ROM
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAL
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NAP
0 - 3
ROM
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
INT
2 - 1
ROM
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |