Atalanta vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 0
ATL
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
INT
3 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATL
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAP
37%
30%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 1
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 1
SPA
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
NAP
2 - 0
ROM
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ROM
2 - 6
INT
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |