Atalanta vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
PAD
2 - 0
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ATL
4 - 0
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ATL
1 - 1
ASL
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 2
ATL
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ROM
2 - 1
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
TRI
2 - 2
ROM
57%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PAL
3 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
29%
24%
48%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |