Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-1
Atalanta vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
FIO
4 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
ATL
1 - 0
GEN
62%
24%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
ATL
0 - 2
NAP
26%
30%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
INT
7 - 2
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
FCC
0 - 2
PES
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
PES
1 - 0
FCC
70%
19%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 1
PES
39%
30%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
PES
0 - 1
FCC
61%
26%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
REG
1 - 0
PES
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |