Atalanta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
REG
1 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
4 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 3
MOD
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 0
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PRG
3 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 1
PRG
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
PRG
2 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
3 - 0
PRG
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |