Atalanta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
ATL
3 - 0
ASS
52%
30%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATL
45%
32%
23%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
PIS
1 - 1
ATL
50%
31%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
ATL
1 - 0
EMP
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 1
ATL
57%
27%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 0
PIS
51%
31%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
PRG
50%
29%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 0
EMP
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PRG
4 - 1
VAR
47%
32%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |