Atalanta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.2%
32.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 0
ATL
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
39%
31%
30%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
REG
0 - 0
ATL
61%
26%
13%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
COM
44%
32%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
SSS
51%
31%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAL
44%
32%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
PRG
37%
32%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
PRG
0 - 1
USC
51%
31%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
34%
32%
34%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |