Atalanta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
30.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOR
28%
32%
40%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
FCC
0 - 0
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
PRG
0 - 0
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
JUV
1 - 2
PRG
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
PRG
1 - 0
FIO
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
INT
1 - 1
PRG
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
PRG
2 - 0
VIC
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |