Atalanta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 2
ATL
51%
29%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 0
ATL
47%
31%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 1
GEN
55%
29%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 2
GEN
61%
26%
13%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
PRG
3 - 2
ARZ
64%
24%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
PRG
39%
33%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAR
65%
23%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |