Atalanta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
13.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 0
MOD
66%
23%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
27%
31%
42%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 2
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
USF
2 - 0
PRG
62%
25%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
PRG
3 - 1
CAT
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
TER
2 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |