Atalanta vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 1
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
REG
1 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 2
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
UDI
2 - 3
ATL
51%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
JUV
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 1
EMP
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |