Atalanta vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATL
37%
26%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ATL
0 - 0
VNZ
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 2
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ATL
5 - 0
VIG
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ATL
4 - 1
CAG
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 2
REG
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |