Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 2
ATL
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
ATL
3 - 0
BRI
59%
28%
13%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAL
44%
32%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
LAZ
3 - 2
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
USF
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1976 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOV
54%
28%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 1
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |