Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
ATL
49%
31%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAT
62%
25%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
ATL
42%
32%
26%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
48%
30%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 0
ATL
41%
31%
28%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
49%
31%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |