Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
GEN
3 - 1
ATL
63%
24%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
AVE
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 0
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CAT
1 - 0
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 0
TER
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAT
59%
26%
15%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
PES
1 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAL
51%
28%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 2
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |