Atalanta vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
SAM
4 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 0
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
ACM
4 - 2
NOV
84%
11%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
NOV
6 - 2
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
SAM
1 - 1
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
NOV
0 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |