Atalanta vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
12º
3º
55
1º
19º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 86 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
1º
|
55 | 84 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 80 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 70 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 69 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 68 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 66 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 59 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 58 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 38 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 34 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 32 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 28 |
19º
|
32.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
20º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
11% | 30% |
|
Champions League
|
85% | 69% |
|
Europa League
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
JUV
59%
21%
20%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
UDI
0 - 0
ATL
15%
21%
64%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
INT
2 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
99 | 100 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
40%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
EMP
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 0
VER
79%
15%
6%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 3
NAP
39%
25%
36%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 0
VNZ
80%
14%
6%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
19%
24%
57%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
UDI
1 - 3
NAP
21%
24%
55%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |